Sustainability reporting and the end of the black box

  • Blog
  • 4 minute read
  • October 29, 2024

Are you reporting numbers which are based off of assumptions, because of incomplete data or otherwise?

The last few years have seen rapid development and convergence of reporting standards for climate and other sustainability risks and opportunities.

The International Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB) has introduced the IFRS Sustainability Standards to enhance trust and confidence in company disclosures regarding sustainability, aiding investment decisions. These standards aim to ensure that companies provide consistent, complete, comparable and verifiable information on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, allowing stakeholders to better assess the entity’s enterprise value. So far, the ISSB has published two standards: IFRS S1, General Requirements for Disclosure of Sustainability-related Financial Information and IFRS S2, Climate-related Disclosures.

These standards require adherence to a principle which may have a profound impact on an organisation’s sustainability reporting by affecting which metrics are reported and how they are determined, validated and disclosed.

Reporting on sustainability

Disclosing the methodology and assumptions underlying metrics

To comply with the standards, organisations must disclose metrics on each sustainability-related risk and opportunity that could reasonably be expected to affect its prospects. This includes metrics on its performance in relation to these risks and opportunities, along with comparisons to any targets set by the organisation or its regulator. Where not already defined by an existing standard, organisations must also disclose:

  • How each metric is defined;
  • The method used to calculate the metric and the inputs to the calculation, including the limitations of the method used and the significant assumptions made;
  • For metrics with a high level of measurement uncertainty, information regarding the sources of uncertainty in the measurement; and
  • Whether the metric is validated by a third party and, if so, which party.

Metrics with a high level of measurement uncertainty are those that involve the most difficult, subjective or complex judgements. Examples of information which may need to be disclosed include:

  • Sensitivities of the amounts disclosed to the assumptions made.
  • Reasons for the sensitivities.
  • A range of reasonably possible outcomes.
  • Explanations of changes made to past assumptions.

Any redefinition or replacement of a previously disclosed metric also requires explanation, including the reasons for the change and comparative figures for the revised metric if not impracticable.

While adhering to the standards offers clear benefits, such as improving transparency and trust and avoiding perceptions of green- or blue-washing, the additional disclosure requirements can present several challenges, even for existing metrics disclosed.

Why this presents a challenge

Why this presents a challenge

Sustainability-related reports (or sections of reports) currently tell a story in a neat way; however, preparers of these reports will need to consider the impact of the additional explanations required by the new standards. In some cases, the space needed for just one metric may be a multiple of what is currently used.

Existing processes may not be set up to produce the new information required, such as sensitivities or analyses of changes in results which separate changes occurring over time from changes in methods and assumptions.

Management may not currently have a full understanding of which metrics are impacted by the new requirements. This includes knowing where explicit and implicit assumptions have been made, which assumptions significantly impact the results, the limitations of the methods used and the full set of inputs into the calculations. Some calculations may be a “black box”, where these factors are not known or understood for the relevant metrics. Explicit assumptions are usually numerical inputs into a calculation, whereas implicit assumptions relate to the methodology used and are more “hidden”.

The production of sustainability metrics is often hampered by data challenges. This means that some metrics, which ideally should be based on straightforward data summarisation, are actually based on numerous assumptions that may not be visible even to management.

Benefits to reporters

What the benefits are to reporters

With the challenges, however, also come opportunities:

Management can gain a better understanding of the metrics they calculate, what they mean, the assumptions underlying them and what changes in the metrics from one period to the next mean. This may lead to better management information and decision making.

Management can better convey this understanding to users of reports. This will improve transparency and potentially enable better comparisons between similar entities.

Implementing the new requirements moves preparers closer to being assurance-ready. Preconditions for obtaining assurance include having an appropriate subject matter that can be assured against suitable criteria. In a relatively immature reporting environment, additional disclosures around methodology and assumptions can enhance the assurance readiness of the applicable metrics.

Overall, these opportunities contribute to building greater trust and ensuring that investors and other stakeholders can place more reliance on the reports.

Getting on the front foot

What can reporters do now to take advantage of the opportunities, meet the expectations of stakeholders created by the new standards and ultimately achieve compliance?

  • Identify the existing metrics which are impacted by the new requirements. Consider where data challenges may have resulted in the use of assumptions, judgements or proxies.
  • Obtain an independent review and challenge of the calculations from an expert who is experienced in unpacking black box or complex calculations, identifying all the explicit and implicit assumptions, assessing their robustness, explaining their impact on the results, and helping to clearly articulate the methods and assumptions used.
  • Consider the impact of the new requirements when developing new metrics. Will we be able to simply and clearly articulate the methodology and assumptions? Can the new metric be assured? Outside help might also ensure that new metrics developed are sufficiently robust.
  • Consider the impacts of the requirements on both reports and processes.

These steps may also help kickstart your development of a roadmap for assurance-readiness.

Our sustainability team has model validation, reporting and assurance experts who are uniquely placed to assist you to meet the new challenges.

Getting on the front foot

Illustrative examples of where enhanced disclosure is required

In each of these examples, currently only the final metric is disclosed and there is no insight provided as to how the values were determined and the uncertainties around them. Management may not have a full understanding of the assumptions and uncertainties either—the calculation could be a black-box and/or they could arise from externally-sourced information used in the calculation.

Example 1

Retailer discloses the proportions of clothing sold which are made from locally sourced materials and from natural fibres

Calculation approach for both metrics: 

  • The retailer obtains percentages from some suppliers, but estimates percentages for others based on averages for similar companies and judgement.
  • A weighted average percentage is calculated using estimated proportions of fabric supplied by each supplier (by mass), with rand spent per supplier as a proxy for mass.
  • Figures are not adjusted to reflect amounts sold versus supplied from each supplier.

Example 2

Personal motor insurer discloses its scope 3 category 15 insured emissions

Calculation approach:

  • The total insured emissions are calculated by multiplying the emissions per customer by the attribution factor for each customer and summing these amounts.
  • The attribution factor is the premium divided by an estimated cost of vehicle ownership, which depends on the make, model, year and primary uses of the vehicle.
  • Assumptions regarding cost of ownership are set using a combination of internal and external data sources and judgement.
  • Emissions per customer vary by vehicle make and model and primary uses and are based on assumptions about distances travelled (which vary by uses) and externally-sourced emissions intensities per make and model.
  • The insurer uses its own data on the premium, make, model and year of the vehicle to facilitate the calculation.

Example 3

Company updates their previously disclosed metric relating to paper waste recycling from the absolute number of kilograms of paper recycled to a percentage of paper recycled along with the total kilogrammes of paper waste produced

Additional disclosures:

  • The reporter needs to explain the changes and reasons for the updated metrics, highlighting that the new combined metric provides more transparent and useful information, accounting for growth in production/scale and progress in recycling capabilities.
  • A comparative figure may also need to be disclosed, if not impracticable to do so.

Example 4

Mining company discloses a metric (as per S2) relating to physical climate risk exposure, specifically the value and percentage of their physical assets considered vulnerable to climate-related physical risks

Calculation approach:

  • The company estimates the value of their buildings, equipment and vehicles using a mix of recent actual valuations data where available, publicly available data for similar assets (for example, recent sales prices for similar vehicles) and judgement.
  • Physical risk data is obtained from an external organisation, providing numeric risk scores from 1 to 10  for only heat, drought and flood risks up to 2050.
  • Assets with a risk score above 5 for one or more perils are considered fully vulnerable to physical risk at the relevant time horizon.
  • The company implicitly assumes that the structure and scale of operations remain unchanged over time.

Contact us

Carolyn Clark

Carolyn Clark

Principal | Actuarial, Risk and Quants, PwC South Africa

Tel: +27 (0)21 529 2634

Chantal van der Watt

Chantal van der Watt

Associate Director | Sustainability and Climate Change, PwC South Africa

Tel: +27 (0) 11 797 5541

Lisa Vidulich

Lisa Vidulich

Director | Capital Markets and Accounting Advisory Services, PwC South Africa

Tel: +27 (0) 83 351 7649

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