Solid and surging

South Africa - Major Banks Analysis | March 2026

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  • Publication
  • March 26, 2026

PwC’s analysis of major banks’ results reported for 2025

PwC’s Major Banks Analysis highlights key themes from the combined local currency results of Absa, Capitec, FirstRand, Investec, Nedbank, and Standard Bank based on published results to date for the 2025 reporting period.

For this period, all comparative figures were restated to incorporate Investec Limited (excluding results of Investec plc) into our analysis, which includes their South Africa operations’ published results for the period ended 30 September 2025. We also provide reflections from the common strategic themes within other South African banks. 

Solid and surging

South Africa’s major banks navigated complex operating terrain to deliver solid results in 2025, as geopolitics and macro tensions weighed on domestic conditions. 

9.4%

Combined headline earnings growth against FY24 to R152.5bn

20%

Combined ROE* (FY24: 19.7%)

443 bps

Net interest margin** (FY24: 451 bps)

182 bps

Credit loss ratio (FY24: 187 bps)

51%

Cost-to-income ratio (FY24: 50.4%)

17.3%

Common equity tier ratio (FY24: 17.2%)

*Excluding Investec **Excluding Capitec and Investec

Key strategic themes observed from the major banks’ results for this period include:

South Africa’s major banks continue to compete intensely on digital growth, with client acquisition and transaction volumes steadily rising, driven by mobile-first platforms. To this end, the major banks’ spend and investment patterns remain focused on transitioning and refining their core systems toward cloud compute capability.

Banking products across the retail, business, and corporate spectrum are increasingly being commoditised. As a result, personalised client experiences tailored to individual needs across customer segments have become the primary differentiator and competitive battlefield between banks. This central conviction around client centricity has prompted some banks to pivot their internal structures to segment-based operating models.

South Africa’s major banks have consistently revealed their ability to navigate uncertainty with skill and purpose, while capturing client demand in global markets businesses in periods of volatility. Anchoring this ability is the strength of their balance sheets, which remain underpinned by strong capital, liquidity, and risk management positions.

A consistent and continuing theme in the major banks’ results is that those with significant regional presence benefit from stronger rates of growth in those economies. While inflation, currency volatility and sovereign risks presented headwinds to doing business on the continent, its underlying endowments – including vast commodity and rare earth deposits and younger, digitally native populations – remain highly attractive.

In recent periods, cost management has become a defining test of management quality. Across the banking sector, the message from management teams is that sustainable earnings growth requires positive operating leverage – revenue growing faster than costs – and that this requires the ongoing reinvention of operational models, not just incremental efficiency.

South Africa and Africa’s energy transition is generating bankable infrastructure investment at scale, with the major banks increasingly orienting their corporate and investment banking businesses around these opportunities.

The 2025 results for SA’s major banks articulates a coherent story: a sector that has navigated significant macroeconomic headwinds with discipline, delivering earnings growth that in several cases reflects record performance. Credit quality has improved, technology investment is bearing dividends, and geographic diversification is a robust earnings contributor.  

South Africa's major banks are well capitalised, well managed, and well positioned. The question for 2026 and beyond is whether their many successes to date will catalyse the bold moves that the next competitive cycle demands: a cycle that has already commenced with challenger banks making strong strides.

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Costa  Natsas

Costa Natsas

Financial Services Industry Leader, PwC South Africa

Tel: +27 (0) 11 797 4105

Francois Prinsloo

Francois Prinsloo

Banking and Capital Markets Industry Leader, PwC South Africa

Tel: +27 (0) 11 797 4419

Rivaan Roopnarain

Rivaan Roopnarain

Partner | Banking and Capital Markets, PwC South Africa

Tel: +27 (0) 11 287 0915

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